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Market Failure and Government Intervention — Diagnostic Tests

Unit Tests

UT-1: Negative Externalities and Pigouvian Tax

Question: A factory producing chemicals generates pollution as a negative externality. Private marginal cost: MPC=20+0.5QMPC = 20 + 0.5Q. Marginal external cost: MEC=0.3QMEC = 0.3Q. Demand (marginal private benefit): P=1000.8QP = 100 - 0.8Q. (a) Calculate the free market equilibrium quantity and price. (b) Calculate the socially optimal quantity and price. (c) Calculate the Pigouvian tax needed to achieve the social optimum. (d) Calculate the deadweight loss of the free market outcome.

Solution:

(a) Free market: MPC=MPBMPC = MPB: 20+0.5Q=1000.8Q20 + 0.5Q = 100 - 0.8Q, 1.3Q=801.3Q = 80, Qm=61.54Q_m = 61.54. P_m = 100 - 0.8(61.54) = \50.77$.

(b) Social optimum: MSC=MSBMSC = MSB. MSC=MPC+MEC=20+0.5Q+0.3Q=20+0.8QMSC = MPC + MEC = 20 + 0.5Q + 0.3Q = 20 + 0.8Q. MSB=MPB=1000.8QMSB = MPB = 100 - 0.8Q (assuming no external benefit).

20+0.8Q=1000.8Q20 + 0.8Q = 100 - 0.8Q, 1.6Q=801.6Q = 80, Q=50Q^* = 50. P^* = 100 - 0.8(50) = \60$.

(c) Pigouvian tax =MEC= MEC at Q=50Q^* = 50: t = 0.3(50) = \15.Thetaxshiftstheprivatesupplyupby. The tax shifts the private supply up by $15,so, so MPC + t = 20 + 0.5Q + 15 = 35 + 0.5Q.At. At Q = 50:: 35 + 0.5(50) = 60 = P^*$.

(d) DWL = \frac{1}{2} \times MEC_{at Q_m} \times (Q_m - Q^*) = \frac{1}{2} \times 0.3(61.54) \times (61.54 - 50) = \frac{1}{2} \times 18.46 \times 11.54 = \106.5$.

UT-2: Public Goods and Free Rider Problem

Question: A coastal community of 100 residents is considering building a lighthouse. Each resident's individual demand for the lighthouse is Pi=100.1QP_i = 10 - 0.1Q, where QQ is the quality level (0 to 100). The total cost of providing quality level QQ is TC=200+5QTC = 200 + 5Q. (a) Explain why a lighthouse is a public good, identifying which characteristics it satisfies. (b) Derive the market demand (marginal social benefit) curve. (c) Calculate the socially optimal quality level. (d) Explain why the private market would underprovide the lighthouse.

Solution:

(a) A lighthouse is a public good because it satisfies two characteristics:

  1. Non-excludable: Once built, it is impossible or extremely costly to exclude any ship from benefiting from the light.
  2. Non-rivalrous: One ship using the lighthouse does not reduce the amount of light available to other ships.

These characteristics create a free rider problem -- individual residents have an incentive not to pay, hoping others will fund it while they still benefit.

(b) For a public good, the market demand (MSB) is the vertical summation of individual demands, since all residents consume the same quantity simultaneously.

MSB=i=1100Pi=100(100.1Q)=100010QMSB = \sum_{i=1}^{100} P_i = 100(10 - 0.1Q) = 1000 - 10Q.

(c) Social optimum: MSB == MSC. MSC=dTCextdQ=5MSC = \frac{\text{dTC}}{ ext{dQ}} = 5.

100010Q=51000 - 10Q = 5, 10Q=99510Q = 995, Q=99.5Q^* = 99.5.

The socially optimal quality level is approximately 99.5 (essentially maximum quality).

(d) In the private market, each resident decides whether to contribute based on their private marginal benefit (PMB =100.1Q= 10 - 0.1Q), not the social marginal benefit. At any quality level, PMB <\lt MSB, so each resident undervalues the lighthouse. The private market equilibrium would occur where the individual demand equals the average cost share: 100.1Q=5Q/100+2=0.05Q+210 - 0.1Q = 5Q/100 + 2 = 0.05Q + 2. This gives 8=0.15Q8 = 0.15Q, Q=53.3Q = 53.3 -- far below the social optimum of 99.5. The free rider problem means many residents would not contribute at all, expecting others to pay.

UT-3: Information Asymmetry

Question: In the market for used cars, sellers know the true quality of their cars but buyers do not. There are two types of cars: good cars worth \80,000andbadcars(lemons)worthand bad cars (lemons) worth$40,000.Buyersvaluegoodcarsat. Buyers value good cars at $100,000andbadcarsatand bad cars at$50,000$. Half of all cars on the market are good and half are bad. (a) What price would a risk-neutral buyer be willing to pay if they cannot distinguish between good and bad cars? (b) What happens to the market if the price from part (a) prevails? (c) Explain the concept of adverse selection in this context.

Solution:

(a) Expected value to buyer = 0.5 \times 100,000 + 0.5 \times 50,000 = \75,000$.

A risk-neutral buyer would pay up to \75,000$.

(b) At a price of \75,000:Sellersofgoodcars(value: Sellers of good cars (value $80,000)wouldnotsellbecausethepriceisbelowtheirvaluation.Onlysellersofbadcars(value) would not sell because the price is below their valuation. Only sellers of bad cars (value $40,000$) would sell. This means only lemons remain in the market.

(c) Adverse selection occurs when asymmetric information leads to the withdrawal of high-quality products from the market. Since buyers cannot distinguish good from bad cars, they offer a price based on the average quality. This price drives out the good cars (whose owners won't sell at that price), leaving only lemons. Buyers then realise only lemons remain and lower their offer price further. In the extreme, the market can collapse entirely -- a result known as the "market for lemons" (Akerlof, 1970). Solutions include: warranties/s guarantees (signalling), third-party inspections, certification programmes, and reputation systems.


Integration Tests

IT-1: Externalities and Tax Incidence (with Demand and Supply)

Question: The market for electricity has demand P=200QP = 200 - Q and supply P=40+QP = 40 + Q (in cents per kWh). Electricity generation produces pollution with marginal external cost MEC=20MEC = 20. (a) Calculate the free market equilibrium. (b) Calculate the socially optimal quantity. (c) If the government imposes a Pigouvian tax, calculate: the tax per unit, the new equilibrium, tax revenue, deadweight loss reduction, and the tax incidence on consumers vs producers. (d) If demand becomes more inelastic (shifts to P=2000.5QP = 200 - 0.5Q), how does this change the tax incidence?

Solution:

(a) Free market: 200Q=40+Q200 - Q = 40 + Q, 2Q=1602Q = 160, Qm=80Q_m = 80, P_m = \1.20$.

(b) Social optimum: MSC=MPC+MEC=(40+Q)+20=60+Q=MSB=200QMSC = MPC + MEC = (40 + Q) + 20 = 60 + Q = MSB = 200 - Q. 2Q=1402Q = 140, Q=70Q^* = 70, P^* = \1.30$.

(c) Pigouvian tax =MEC=20= MEC = 20 cents. New supply: P=60+QP = 60 + Q. New equilibrium: 200Q=60+Q200 - Q = 60 + Q, Q=70Q = 70, P_b = \1.30,, P_s = $1.10$.

Tax revenue =20×70=1400= 20 \times 70 = 1400 cents = \14$.

DWL without tax = \frac{1}{2} \times 20 \times (80 - 70) = \100cents.Withthetax,DWLfromexternalityiseliminated.TotalDWLcents. With the tax, DWL from externality is eliminated. Total DWL= 0$ (the tax perfectly corrects the externality).

Tax incidence: Consumer burden =130120=10= 130 - 120 = 10 cents (50%). Producer burden =120110=10= 120 - 110 = 10 cents (50%).

(d) With P=2000.5QP = 200 - 0.5Q: Free market: 2000.5Q=40+Q200 - 0.5Q = 40 + Q, 1.5Q=1601.5Q = 160, Qm=106.67Q_m = 106.67, Pm=146.67P_m = 146.67.

Post-tax: 2000.5Q=60+Q200 - 0.5Q = 60 + Q, 1.5Q=1401.5Q = 140, Qt=93.33Q_t = 93.33, Pb=153.33P_b = 153.33, Ps=133.33P_s = 133.33.

Consumer burden =153.33146.67=6.67= 153.33 - 146.67 = 6.67 (33%). Producer burden =146.67133.33=13.33= 146.67 - 133.33 = 13.33 (67%).

With more inelastic demand, producers bear a larger share of the tax burden. This is because consumers are less responsive to price changes, so producers cannot pass the full tax onto them.

IT-2: Government Regulation and Market Failure (with Market Structure)

Question: A monopoly water company has TC=200+5QTC = 200 + 5Q and faces demand P=500.5QP = 50 - 0.5Q. The government is considering three regulatory options: (a) marginal cost pricing, (b) average cost pricing, or (c) a price cap. (a) Calculate the profit-maximising monopoly outcome. (b) Calculate the outcome under each regulatory option. (c) Which option eliminates deadweight loss? Which ensures the firm breaks even? (d) What problem might arise with marginal cost pricing in practice?

Solution:

(a) Monopoly: MR=50QMR = 50 - Q. MC=5MC = 5. 50Q=550 - Q = 5, Qm=45Q_m = 45. P_m = 50 - 22.5 = \27.50.Profit. Profit = 27.50(45) - 200 - 5(45) = 1237.50 - 200 - 225 = $812.50$.

(b) Marginal cost pricing: P=MC=5P = MC = 5. 500.5Q=550 - 0.5Q = 5, Q=90Q = 90, P = \5.Profit. Profit = 5(90) - 200 - 5(90) = -$200$ (loss equal to fixed costs).

Average cost pricing: P=ACP = AC. AC=200/Q+5AC = 200/Q + 5. 500.5Q=200/Q+550 - 0.5Q = 200/Q + 5. Multiply by QQ: 50Q0.5Q2=200+5Q50Q - 0.5Q^2 = 200 + 5Q. 0.5Q245Q+200=00.5Q^2 - 45Q + 200 = 0. Q290Q+400=0Q^2 - 90Q + 400 = 0. Q=90±810016002=90±65002=90±80.622Q = \frac{90 \pm \sqrt{8100 - 1600}}{2} = \frac{90 \pm \sqrt{6500}}{2} = \frac{90 \pm 80.62}{2}. Q=85.31Q = 85.31 or Q=4.69Q = 4.69. Taking the larger: Q=85.31Q = 85.31, P = 50 - 0.5(85.31) = \7.35.Profit. Profit \approx 0$.

Price cap: If set at, say, \10:: Q_d = 80.Thefirmmaximisesprofitsubjectto. The firm maximises profit subject to P \le 10,producing, producing Q = 80$.

(c) Marginal cost pricing eliminates DWL (achieves allocative efficiency). Average cost pricing ensures the firm breaks even (zero economic profit). Price caps can achieve something in between depending on the cap level.

(d) With marginal cost pricing, the firm makes a loss equal to its fixed costs ($200). In the long run, the firm would exit the market unless subsidised. This creates a dependency on government subsidy, which may be politically costly. This is the "natural monopoly dilemma" -- the technology that creates natural monopoly (high fixed costs, low marginal costs) also makes marginal cost pricing unsustainable without subsidy.

IT-3: Multiple Externalities and Policy Design (with Government Policy)

Question: A city has two sources of pollution: factories (negative production externality) and driving (negative consumption externality). Factory output QfQ_f: MPC =30+Qf= 30 + Q_f, MEC =0.5Qf= 0.5Q_f, demand Pf=100QfP_f = 100 - Q_f. Driving QdQ_d: MPB =600.5Qd= 60 - 0.5Q_d, MEC =0.3Qd= 0.3Q_d, private MC of driving =10= 10. (a) Calculate the free market equilibrium for each activity. (b) Calculate the socially optimal levels. (c) If the government has a budget constraint and can only tax one activity, which should it tax first? Justify using DWL calculations.

Solution:

(a) Factory: MPC=MPBMPC = MPB: 30+Qf=100Qf30 + Q_f = 100 - Q_f, 2Qf=702Q_f = 70, Qf=35Q_f = 35, P_f = \65.Driving:. **Driving**: MPB = MC:: 60 - 0.5Q_d = 10,, 0.5Q_d = 50,, Q_d = 100$.

(b) Factory: MSC=MPC+MEC=30+1.5Qf=MSB=100QfMSC = MPC + MEC = 30 + 1.5Q_f = MSB = 100 - Q_f. 2.5Qf=702.5Q_f = 70, Qf=28Q_f^* = 28, P_f^* = \72.Driving:. **Driving**: MSC = MC + MEC = 10 + 0.3Q_d = MSB = 60 - 0.5Q_d.. 0.8Q_d = 50,, Q_d^* = 62.5$.

(c) DWL from factory overproduction: \frac{1}{2} \times 0.5(35) \times (35 - 28) = \frac{1}{2} \times 17.5 \times 7 = \61.25.DWLfromdrivingoverconsumption:. DWL from driving overconsumption: \frac\\{1\\}\\{2\\} \times 0.3(100) \times (100 - 62.5) = \frac\\{1\\}\\{2\\} \times 30 \times 37.5 = $562.50$.

The government should tax driving first because the DWL from overconsumption of driving ($562.50) is far larger than from factory overproduction ($61.25). This demonstrates that the government should prioritise correcting the largest market failures first when resources are limited.

Additional DSE Exam-Style Questions

EQ-1: Positive Externalities and Education Subsidy

Question: The market for university education has demand P=2000.5QP = 200 - 0.5Q and supply P=40+QP = 40 + Q, where PP is in thousands of HKD and QQ is in thousands of students. University education generates positive externalities (a more educated workforce, lower crime rates, better civic participation) with a constant marginal external benefit of MEB=30MEB = 30. (a) Calculate the market equilibrium quantity and price. (b) Calculate the socially optimal quantity and price. (c) Calculate the Pigouvian subsidy per student needed to achieve the social optimum. (d) Calculate the deadweight loss of the free market outcome.

Solution:

(a) Market equilibrium: 2000.5Q=40+Q200 - 0.5Q = 40 + Q, 1.5Q=1601.5Q = 160, Qm=106.67Q_m = 106.67, P_m = \146.67$ (thousand).

(b) Social optimum: MSB=MPB+MEB=2000.5Q+30=2300.5QMSB = MPB + MEB = 200 - 0.5Q + 30 = 230 - 0.5Q. Set MSB=MSC=40+QMSB = MSC = 40 + Q.

2300.5Q=40+Q230 - 0.5Q = 40 + Q, 1.5Q=1901.5Q = 190, Q=126.67Q^* = 126.67.

Price consumers pay (from demand curve): P_b = 200 - 0.5(126.67) = \136.67.Priceproducersreceive(fromsupplycurve):. Price producers receive (from supply curve): P_s = 40 + 126.67 = $166.67$.

(c) The Pigouvian subsidy =MEB=30= MEB = 30 (thousand HKD per student).

Verification: With subsidy of 30, the effective demand becomes P+30=2000.5Q+30=2300.5QP + 30 = 200 - 0.5Q + 30 = 230 - 0.5Q. Set equal to supply: 2300.5Q=40+Q230 - 0.5Q = 40 + Q, which gives Q=126.67=QQ = 126.67 = Q^*. The subsidy works.

Alternatively, the subsidy should equal the MEB at the optimal quantity: MEB=30MEB = 30 (constant), so the subsidy is 30 regardless of the quantity.

(d) DWL of underconsumption:

DWL=12×MEB×(QQm)=12×30×(126.67106.67)=12×30×20=300DWL = \frac{1}{2} \times MEB \times (Q^* - Q_m) = \frac{1}{2} \times 30 \times (126.67 - 106.67) = \frac{1}{2} \times 30 \times 20 = 300

The DWL is \300thousand(orthousand (or$300,000$ in absolute terms). This represents the net social benefit that is forgone because the market produces too few university graduates.

EQ-2: Congestion Charging in Hong Kong

Question: A major tunnel in Hong Kong has a demand curve for vehicle crossings of P=800.2QP = 80 - 0.2Q (where PP is HKD per crossing and QQ is thousands of crossings per hour). The marginal private cost of a crossing is constant at P=20P = 20 (fuel, toll). However, each additional vehicle adds to congestion, with marginal external cost MEC=0.3QMEC = 0.3Q. (a) Calculate the free market equilibrium number of crossings. (b) Calculate the socially optimal number of crossings. (c) Calculate the optimal congestion charge. (d) Calculate the reduction in DWL. (e) Evaluate the practical difficulties of implementing congestion charging in Hong Kong.

Solution:

(a) Free market: P=MPC=20P = MPC = 20. Demand: 800.2Q=2080 - 0.2Q = 20, 0.2Q=600.2Q = 60, Qm=300Q_m = 300 thousand crossings per hour.

(b) Social optimum: MSC=MPC+MEC=20+0.3QMSC = MPC + MEC = 20 + 0.3Q. Set MSC=MSB=800.2QMSC = MSB = 80 - 0.2Q.

20+0.3Q=800.2Q20 + 0.3Q = 80 - 0.2Q, 0.5Q=600.5Q = 60, Q=120Q^* = 120 thousand crossings per hour.

Price at social optimum: P^* = 80 - 0.2(120) = \text{HK}\56$ per crossing.

(c) Optimal congestion charge =MEC= MEC at Q=120Q^* = 120: t = 0.3 \times 120 = \text{HK}\36$ per crossing.

Verification: With the charge, the effective private cost becomes 20+36=5620 + 36 = 56. At P=56P = 56: Q=(8056)/0.2=120=QQ = (80 - 56)/0.2 = 120 = Q^*.

(d) DWL without the charge:

DWL=12×MECatQm×(QmQ)=12×0.3(300)×(300120)=12×90×180=HK$8100DWL = \frac{1}{2} \times MEC_{at Q_m} \times (Q_m - Q^*) = \frac{1}{2} \times 0.3(300) \times (300 - 120) = \frac{1}{2} \times 90 \times 180 = \text{HK}\$8\,100

(thousands, i.e., HK$8.1 million per hour).

With the charge, DWL is eliminated entirely (assuming perfect implementation).

(e) Practical difficulties in Hong Kong:

  1. Political acceptability: Drivers would strongly oppose any new charge, especially if public transport alternatives are perceived as inadequate. The 2019 experience with the proposed electronic road pricing pilot showed significant public resistance.
  2. Equity concerns: A flat congestion charge is regressive -- it represents a larger proportion of income for lower-income drivers. Essential workers (delivery drivers, taxi drivers) who must drive during peak hours would be disproportionately affected.
  3. Technology and enforcement: Requires electronic tracking (GPS or license plate recognition), raising privacy concerns. evasion through alternative routes could shift congestion rather than eliminate it.
  4. Cross-harbour alternatives: Hong Kong's geography means there are limited alternatives to the major tunnels. If one tunnel is charged, traffic may divert to other tunnels, simply shifting the congestion.
  5. Dynamic pricing complexity: The optimal charge varies by time of day and traffic conditions. A static charge is easier to implement but less efficient; dynamic pricing requires sophisticated real-time systems.

EQ-3: Common Resources and the Tragedy of the Commons

Question: A fishing ground is open access. The total cost of fishing as a function of the number of boats BB is TC=10B+0.5B2TC = 10B + 0.5B^2 (in thousands of HKD). The total revenue from fishing is TR=50B0.2B2TR = 50B - 0.2B^2. (a) Calculate the number of boats under open access (where average revenue equals average cost). (b) Calculate the socially optimal number of boats (where marginal revenue equals marginal cost). (c) Explain why open access leads to overfishing. (d) Suggest two policy solutions and explain how they internalise the externality.

Solution:

(a) Under open access, boats enter until economic profit is zero: AR=ACAR = AC.

AR=TRB=500.2BAR = \frac{TR}{B} = 50 - 0.2B. AC=TCB=10+0.5BAC = \frac{TC}{B} = 10 + 0.5B.

500.2B=10+0.5B50 - 0.2B = 10 + 0.5B, 0.7B=400.7B = 40, BOA=57.14B_{OA} = 57.14 boats.

(b) Social optimum: MR=MCMR = MC.

MR=dTRdB=500.4BMR = \frac{dTR}{dB} = 50 - 0.4B. MC=dTCdB=10+BMC = \frac{dTC}{dB} = 10 + B.

500.4B=10+B50 - 0.4B = 10 + B, 1.4B=401.4B = 40, B=28.57B^* = 28.57 boats.

(c) Under open access, each boat owner considers only their private cost and revenue, not the externality they impose on others. Each additional boat reduces the catch per boat (because the fish stock is finite), imposing a cost on all other boats. This negative externality means individual boat owners enter even when the marginal social cost exceeds the marginal social benefit, leading to too many boats and overfishing. This is the tragedy of the commons: common-pool resources are overexploited because no individual has an incentive to conserve them.

(d) Policy solution 1 -- ITQs (Individual Transferable Quotas): The government sets a total allowable catch (corresponding to B=28.57B^* = 28.57 boats) and distributes quotas to fishers. Quotas are tradeable, so the most efficient fishers buy quotas from less efficient ones. This creates property rights over the resource, internalising the externality. Fishers now have an incentive to conserve the fish stock because the quota represents a valuable asset whose future value depends on the sustainability of the stock.

Policy solution 2 -- Licensing (limited entry): The government issues a fixed number of fishing licences (B=28.57B^* = 28.57) and restricts access to licence holders. This directly limits the number of boats to the socially optimal level. However, licences are less efficient than ITQs because they do not allow reallocation to more efficient fishers (unless licences are also tradeable).

EQ-4: Information Asymmetry in Healthcare

Question: In the market for health insurance, individuals know their own health status but insurance companies do not. There are two types of individuals: healthy (probability of illness =0.1= 0.1, medical cost if ill = \100,000)andunhealthy(probabilityofillness) and unhealthy (probability of illness = 0.5,medicalcostifill, medical cost if ill = $100,000).Thepopulationis60). The population is 60% healthy and 40% unhealthy. Each individual has income of $200,000andutilityand utilityU = \sqrt\\{W\\}wherewhereW$ is wealth. (a) Calculate the actuarially fair premium for each type. (b) If the insurer cannot distinguish between types and must offer a single premium, what premium would it charge? (c) Explain the adverse selection problem that arises. (d) How does mandatory health insurance (as in Hong Kong's Voluntary Health Insurance Scheme) address this problem?

Solution:

(a) Expected cost for healthy: 0.1 \times 100\,000 = \10,000.Fairpremium. Fair premium = $10,000$.

Expected cost for unhealthy: 0.5 \times 100\,000 = \50,000.Fairpremium. Fair premium = $50,000$.

(b) Pooled expected cost = 0.6 \times 10\,000 + 0.4 \times 50\,000 = 6\,000 + 20\,000 = \26,000$.

The insurer would charge a pooled premium of \26,000$ (plus a loading for admin costs and profit).

(c) At a pooled premium of \26,000$:

  • Healthy individuals: Expected benefit = \10,000,butpremium, but premium = $26,000$. They are paying more than their expected cost. Many healthy individuals would choose not to buy insurance (they are better off self-insuring).
  • Unhealthy individuals: Expected benefit = \50,000,premium, premium = $26,000$. They get a good deal and will definitely buy.

As healthy individuals drop out, the risk pool becomes sicker. The insurer must raise the premium, causing more healthy people to leave. This spiral continues until only the unhealthy remain in the pool -- the "adverse selection death spiral." The market may collapse entirely, leaving unhealthy individuals without coverage.

(d) Mandatory insurance (or an individual mandate) addresses adverse selection by requiring everyone to buy insurance regardless of health status. This forces healthy individuals into the risk pool, keeping average costs down. Hong Kong's Voluntary Health Insurance Scheme (VHIS) is a step in this direction, though it is voluntary rather than mandatory. Tax incentives for purchasing VHIS-certified plans encourage participation. A fully mandatory system (as in Singapore's Medishield Life) eliminates adverse selection entirely because everyone is in the pool by law. The trade-off is reduced individual choice and the potential for cross-subsidisation from healthy to unhealthy individuals.

EQ-5: Cost-Benefit Analysis of a Public Project

Question: The Hong Kong government is considering building a new MTR line costing HK150billion.Thelinewillgenerate:(i)HK150 billion. The line will generate: (i) HK8 billion per year in fare revenue for 40 years, (ii) HK3billionperyearintimesavingsforcommuters,(iii)HK3 billion per year in time savings for commuters, (iii) HK2 billion per year in reduced road congestion and pollution. The discount rate is 4%. (a) Calculate the net present value (NPV) of the project. (b) Calculate the benefit-cost ratio. (c) Should the government proceed with the project? (d) Discuss three non-quantifiable factors that should be considered.

Solution:

(a) Annual benefits = 8 + 3 + 2 = \text{HK}\13$ billion.

Present value of benefits (40-year annuity at 4%):

PV=Cr(11(1+r)n)=130.04(11(1.04)40)PV = \frac{C}{r}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1+r)^n}\right) = \frac{13}{0.04}\left(1 - \frac{1}{(1.04)^{40}}\right)

(1.04)40=4.8010(1.04)^{40} = 4.8010. PV = 325 \times (1 - 0.2083) = 325 \times 0.7917 = \text{HK}\257.3$ billion.

NPV = PV_{benefits} - PV_{costs} = 257.3 - 150 = \text{HK}\107.3$ billion.

(b) Benefit-cost ratio =257.3150=1.72= \frac{257.3}{150} = 1.72.

(c) Yes. The NPV is positive (HK107.3billion)andthebenefitcostratioexceeds1(1.72),meaningtheprojectgeneratesHK107.3 billion) and the benefit-cost ratio exceeds 1 (1.72), meaning the project generates HK1.72 of benefits for every HK$1 of cost. The government should proceed.

(d) Non-quantifiable factors:

  1. Equity and accessibility: The new line may improve access to employment and services for low-income communities, reducing spatial inequality. The distributional impact depends on which areas the line serves.
  2. Environmental impact: Construction generates noise, dust, and disruption. The permanent environmental benefit (reduced road traffic) must be weighed against the construction impact. Tunnelling may affect groundwater and heritage sites.
  3. Strategic planning: The line may unlock development potential in new areas (e.g., the Northern Metropolis), generating agglomeration economies and land value capture. These dynamic effects are difficult to quantify but may be substantial.
  4. Contingent liabilities: Cost overruns are common in large infrastructure projects (Hong Kong's Express Rail Link exceeded its budget significantly). The government must account for the risk of cost escalation.

Common Pitfalls

  1. Confusing the Pigouvian tax rate with the tax revenue: The optimal Pigouvian tax equals the marginal external cost at the optimal quantity (QQ^*), not at the market quantity (QmQ_m). Tax revenue equals the tax rate multiplied by the post-tax quantity. These are different because the tax changes the quantity.

  2. Vertically summing demands for private goods: For private goods, market demand is the horizontal summation of individual demands (add quantities at each price). For public goods, it is the vertical summation (add willingness to pay at each quantity). Mixing these up is a common error in DSE exams.

  3. Assuming government intervention always improves welfare: Government intervention can itself create inefficiency: regulatory capture (regulators serve the industry they regulate), information problems (government has imperfect information about optimal tax levels), and bureaucratic costs. The DSE often requires evaluating whether government intervention actually improves on the market outcome.

  4. Ignoring the second-best principle: If there are multiple market failures, correcting one does not necessarily improve welfare. In a second-best world with pre-existing distortions (e.g., taxes, other externalities), removing one distortion can make things worse. This is why cost-benefit analysis is important for specific policy proposals.

  5. Confusing public goods with publicly provided goods: A public good is defined by non-excludability and non-rivalry (e.g., national defence, street lighting). Many goods provided by the government (e.g., public healthcare, public education) are actually private goods (rival and excludable) that are publicly provided for equity reasons. They are not public goods in the economic sense.